Polls like this are completely meaningless. At the time when Yuk Man first started campaigning for a seat in LegCo last year, he was rated dead last at first (with a meager 2 or 3% support or something). And even though that support number gradually built up, the end result was completely different from the preliminary polls with him turning into the Ballot King for all practical purposes.
Additionally, voters need to be educated on what the referendum is all about. It is not a simple by-election as the Pigeon Party would like to portray it. Rather, it is a de facto referendum to ask if voters in HK would like to see a generally elected CEO and Legislative Council. With the negative press that the Pigeon Party is trying to paint the movement as, it is no surprise that a lot of voters misunderstood this and thought the entire issue was a farce.
Give the voters some time to learn about and understand the core issue, and we'll see the results for real when the ballots are counted.
-Lik |