True, but you did not take into account inflation. You really have to at least beat GIC to claim a ...
BiscottiGelato 發表於 2010-9-8 09:30 
I think that's a very valid article. When i looked at FiChai's link, from 1994 high point the real estate market went down until it came back up in 2004. The prices of real estate were about the same, but in reality, it's a loss due to time value of money!
So are properties in Vancovuer over-priced now? Perhaps, or maybe it's just in line with inflation (increase just as much as other consumer goods) as others pointed out. Will there be a "correction" in the future? Perhaps, but no one knows for sure. And even if there IS an inflation, what does that even mean? Does it mean it's stupid to buy before the correction and everyone should just wait for that correction? And what % of decrease in prices is considered appropriate? If it goes down by 10%, does it mean it's a good time to buy then? What if it goes down by 9% and never moved, so one should never buy?
My point is, if you look at it as an investment, then yes, you should probably try to make some forecasts and predictions, but that's not the top priority for me, or many home buyers. And even if it IS an investment with embedded risks, one should seek out a strategy that suits his/her financial situation. Remember, just like stock market, there are riskier products (margins, options) for institutional traders and there are also blue chips for normal individuals. AT ANY GIVEN POINT, there are people trading on the stock market, you can't really say "there will be an adjustment in the market later, and buying ANY investment now is a bad idea".
After all, I don't look at buying a house as an investment. If I purely want to make money out of it, I would spend my downpayment elsewhere - that's needless to say. BUT you can't just look at what MIGHT happen in the futre (no one knows what's going to happen) and put everything in life on hold. If you find something you love, buy now, it's not a stock, it won't be on the market forever! Sitting there trying to guess which way the market is going is not something I recommend. I'd rather live in my own space comfortably and spend my time working diligently and make my money elsewhere.
-- single lady 大C姐 |