本帖最後由 lo_pak 於 2011-3-23 14:51 編輯
回復 7# boss2007
I don't know too much about Murphy's Law.
Back to your assumption, if the core is totally meltdown like Chernobyl, the first impact will be the most nearby cities (within 10kms) as they are under direct nuclear explosure of the explosion. The rest will be affected by the dusts mostly. So, atmospheric condition plays a dominent role in this scenario.
Pollutants will travel in 3 forms, namely diffusion, dispersion and radiation. If you ask me what's the safety radius for evaculation if a total meltdown did happen (source is out of control), as far as I can recall, it's about 30kms. Does that mean after 30kms the exlusion zone is safe, it is certainly negative. It very well depends on how the wind blow (you can tell by the location of the US aircraft warrior)...
Within the 30kms inclusion zone, the time to evaculate will be as soon as possible.
Out of the 30kms exclusion zone, it depends on the wind speed.
Touch wood, if Dayawan is having a class 7 accident, the reaction time for HK needs to be very fast...
Some fellows in the forum complained that Fukushima is located in an earthquake zone and proclaimed it's an irresponsible decision by the Japs government to have a plant over there. I will say, hay, have you seen Dayawan? How can you justify the risk if on one day Taiwan is at war with China and a missile flying out from either the States/Taiwan aircraft mistakenly/accidentally hit on the plant... |