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market crash is coming ?

I see what you mean, the market is at this year's March level.. amazing.

I don't know, history shows now is the time to be bearish, but there are quite a bit of news and reports out to support the rally we are seeing now.

No one can time the market, if you are making money now, sell them at the price you think it is good. If you plan to enter the market, just set a stop-loss at the price you want.

Philip

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There is no reason to be bullish whatsoever.  But at the same time, you can't predict when precisely the market will fall over. You only know for sure that 1) it will fall back and 2) the magnitude will be huge and volatility will be extremely high.

I think cash is the best position but I have already been overweight on the bear side. I may have to scale back a bit if things don't reverse next week, but I would definitely not go long.

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Whenever you have such a rapid rally built on speculations, the end is always ugly. No exception. The only problem is that I took on too much risk.

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There's a growing group of signals in the global macro risk-management model that we use at my research firm, Hedgeye,

Evolving the risk-management process is a dynamic exercise. Hedgeye changes as the market's ecosystem does.

-- Keith R. McCullough is CEO of Hedgeye, a research firm based in New Haven, Conn.

And on the right side top:

Hedgeye
Hedgeye, a real-time investment research firm founded in 2008 by former Carlyle-Blue Wave portfolio manager Keith McCullough, operates as a virtual hedge fund. Staffed by research analysts from across Wall Street, Hedgeye offers fundamental, macro and sector analysis, present picks in a transparent way to its clients. It has built a stable of subscribers, which includes hedge funds and mutual funds, and recently launched a retail investor product.
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This is just an sponsored article like an advertisement.  The market might be down another 10%  but I won't call it a crash unless it's down like 30%+, and should be just mainly affecting the finance sector.

All the information he used aren't even news, which totally discredit himself.  If the market will experience another crash, it's probably due to the banks again with their foreclosures or those ****ing rating agencies finally got exposed.

boss2007 has been posting **** article one after another since like forever.  None of his article ended up happening, happy cowboy is exposed.  I don't remember him predicted anything right either.

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本帖最後由 zoids 於 2010-10-9 12:27 編輯

sorry, double post.... because LYK never loads and refresh like it should the first time.

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boss2007 has been posting **** article one after another since like forever.  None of his article ended up happening, happy cowboy is exposed.  I don't remember him predicted anything right either.
zoids 發表於 2010/10/9 12:25


What boss2007 posts is irrelevant since we just discussing where the market will be.  And you surely have bad memory.

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http://news.mingpao.com/20101010/gaa1.htm

No one knows when the market will correct.  But in the 2008 correction, it erases the gain for the past 10 yr.  So if you miss the gain for the last quarter, it is better the to. No need to hurry.

I am more interested in where you keep your cash.  USD or CAD.  USD is so cheap now.

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http://news.mingpao.com/20101010/gaa1.htm

No one knows when the market will correct.  But in the 2008 correction, it erases the gain for the past 10 yr.  So if you miss the gain for the last quarter, it is better the to. No need to hurry.

I am more interested in where you keep your cash.  USD or CAD.  USD is so cheap now.

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No one knows when the market will correct.  But in the 2008 correction, it erases the gain for the ...
Look4chrisng 發表於 2010/10/9 23:03


well I think typically cash means your native currency
if you hold other currencies, then it's not really cash since the value changes everyday relative to your native currency

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